Swedish Defence University study examines Cyclone Mocha relief and conflict risks in Myanmar

A Swedish Defence University study says Cyclone Mocha relief in Myanmar boosted rebel legitimacy and carried conflict risks. Photo: Human Rights Watch.

New research from the Swedish Defence University examines disaster response after Cyclone Mocha hit Myanmar’s Rakhine state on 14 May 2023. The study says the Arakan Army became a central actor in relief.

The research, by Kyungmee Kim at the Department of Political Science, describes how the group organised large-scale operations. It says the military junta did little evacuation and restricted humanitarian access.

The study says the relief efforts strengthened the Arakan Army’s local legitimacy. It also notes fighting later escalated, including coordinated attacks in Rakhine in November 2023.

The research highlights severe impacts on Rohingya communities, including limited evacuation and reduced access to aid. It cites movement restrictions and fear shaped by past abuses.

The study says its findings can inform future disaster planning in conflict areas, including Myanmar’s cyclone-prone regions. It points to the need for context-specific engagement, trusted local intermediaries, and clearer strategies when aid access is restricted.

About Alexander Vittrup

Journalist Alexander Christian Vittrup was employed at ScandAsia Magazine and Website for six months from August 2025 until January 2026. Circumstances beyond our control made it possible for us to keep him here also during the six months from February 2026 until July 2026 - making it a full year here.

View all posts by Alexander Vittrup
0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
guest

0 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments